Unless you have been living
under a rock for the last year and a half, you have heard of Mike Trout, the outfielder
for the Angels, and Bryce Harper the outfielder for the Nationals. Both are great young players, and everyone
has an opinion of who is better, but have you heard of Manny Machado? Manny is the
20 year old who plays third baseman for the Baltimore Orioles, he is
batting .317 and sits as a 3.5 Wins Above Replacement Player in his second year
and first full season in the majors. On the other hand, Mike Trout is hitting
.305 with a 1.8 WAR, and Bryce Harper is hitting .287 with a 1.9 WAR, both in
their second years as well. To be fair,
Machado has 5 Homeruns while Trout has 10 and Harper has 12, but you would
think you'd hear of a guy playing on the same level as Trout and Harper, in the
same age group, and with the same number of years in the MLB, but most likely
you haven't.
To give you a better idea of how each player is doing
this year, Trout is hitting .305, with 10 HRs, an OBP of .375, with 40
RBIs. Harper is hitting .287, with 12
HRs, an OBP of .386, with 23 RBIs. Machado
is hitting .317, with 5 HRs, an OBP of .353, with 33 RBIs. Part of the reason you have not heard of
Machado is because he was not in the debate last year, he had a great season,
but he was not on the level of Trout or Harper.
He hit .262 with 7 HRs, and OBP of .294, with 26 RBIs. Trout blows both Harper and Machado away with
14 stolen bases this season, while Harper has 2 and Machado has 5, albeit
Harper has done this in 100 fewer at bats due to his decision to run into a
wall full steam.
The reason why you have not heard of Manny Machado? Well let's look at Machado before he got
called up. In High School, Machado hit
.639, 12 home runs, and 68 RBIs in 29 games!
WOW! That's a reason why you should have heard of him. This led to Machado being selected 3rd
overall in the MLB draft in 2012, unfortunately it was the same draft where
Bryce Harper went first overall. His
average in 2012 while playing in Double A was .266 which is partly why you have
not heard of him, Trout and Harper put up monster numbers in the minors and so
all the focus was on them. The
conclusion I have come to is that you would have heard of Manny Machado, if he
had not been eclipsed in his Rookie year by Bryce Harper and Mike Trout.
There are two things one can use as an argument to why
Machado is better than either Trout of Harper.
First, he has a better average than either one, second, and in my
opinion, the most important, he can play shortstop. Not to downplay outfielders, but right now
the league is missing out on shortstops, the reason he is not playing the
position is because the Orioles already have a great shortstop in J.J
Hardy. I'm not here to argue what
position Machado should play, but the fact that he can play shortstop well is a
huge plus.
So we looked at all three player's offense, and they are
pretty close. Now let's look at their defense. Everyone knows how great Trout's fielding is,
everyone has seen videos of Trout "stealing" homeruns from people
with his great defense. He has a
fielding percentage of .987 with a range of 2.48 per nine innings, but has a
defensive WAR of -1.2, and Harper has a fielding percentage of .964 with a
range of 1.98 per nine innings with a defensive WAR of 0.1. Comparing these statistics, it is not clear which
outfielder is better, although only one has a habit of running into walls. For comparison, Adam Jones who won a Gold
Glove for center field in 2012 had a fielding percentage of .982 with a range
of 2.75 with a defensive WAR of -1.3.
Though Harper has a disadvantage, he is not a natural outfielder, he
came up as a catcher and the Nationals switched him to Outfield. Machado has a similar disadvantage, he
started off as a shortstop and in 2012, they switched him to third base, only
playing the position twice before being called up to the majors. Though switching from shortstop to third base
is easier than switching from catcher to center field.
It is hard to compare Machado to Trout and Harper because
he plays third base, which is why I have chosen fielding percentage, range, and
defensive Wins Above Replacement as the best stats to compare them. Machado has a fielding percentage of .984 with
a range of 3.03 per nine innings and a defensive WAR of 1.8. He is currently ranked 3rd for fielding
percentage at third base, and his range is the best in the American
League. To compare that, Adrian Beltre
who won a Gold Glove in 2012 for third base, had a fielding percentage of .974
and a range of 2.43 and a defensive WAR of 1.4.
In conclusion, both Harper and Trout are great defensive players, but
Machado is on his way to winning a Gold Glove for his performance at third
base.
It is difficult to use stats to compare player's defense,
but using these three stats, fielding percentage, dWAR, and range, Manny Machado
is in the top 3 to play his position while Bryce Harper and Mike Trout are not
even in the top ten for their position. It is still too early to tell which of
the three are having a better year, but it is clear that you while everyone is
talking about Mike Trout and Bryce Harper, that you should keep an eye out for
Manny Machado.
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