Wednesday, December 7, 2011

The Case of Matt Garza

Perhaps he will be wearing Yankee Pinstripes

MLB Trade rumors is reporting that the Cubs are willing to deal Matt Garza, which is something that has drawn the interest of many Yankees fans as well as many other fans which is why MLB Daily dish compiled a list of possible trade packages. Garza played for the Rays from 08-10 after coming over from the Twins in the Delmon Young Trade and he threw the first Rays no hitter in team history against the Tigers in July 2010. Garza also won the 2008 ALCS MVP, but with all that Garza had a 3.83 ERA with the Rays and didn't really break out until he went over to the Cubs. If you want a clear example of how competitive the AL East is look at Garza, the number of Home Runs he gave up in Chicago is half that of what he gave up in 2010 despite the Trop being much more pitcher friendly. Looking further Garza's stats you see that his WHIP was about the same as it had been in his career and many analysts predict that his ERA will regress going into next season. The other problem with a Garza trade is that if he sort of available as Epstein and Hoyer have implied then he will probably take a lot to get him from the Cubs and price would not be worth it. Another factor is that free agent Hiroki Kuroda, whom I profiled back in June , has now stated that he is willing to pitch on the East Coast and with the exception of his HR rate his stats are all better than Garza's so overpaying for Garza becomes an unnecessary move. The factor for Garza much like Danks is that its all about overpaying, if all they wanted for Garza was the package that MLB Daily dish suggested of C Gary Sanchez, RHP David Phelps, 2B Angelo Gumbs then I would do it but I doubt they will trade him for a package without some better pieces like Noesi or a Killer B.

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